According to a BTG/Nexus poll as of September 28, 2026, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva widened his first-round lead ahead of next month's election. However, a simulated runoff between Lula and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remains statistically tied.
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SAO PAULO, Sept 28 - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in a simulated runoff ahead of next month's election, while the leftist incumbent widened his lead in first-round voting intentions, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed on Monday.
Brazil's Lula widens first-round lead; runoff with Bolsonaro stays tight, BTG/Nexus poll shows Reuters
Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has widened his lead over Senator Flávio Bolsonaro to five points in voting intentions for Sunday's first round, according to a Quaest poll released on Monday, though the two remain tied in a prospective October 25 runoff.