According to polls conducted on September 14–15, 2026, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintained a slim lead over right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in simulated runoff scenarios for the upcoming election held later that month. Both BTG/Nexus and CNT/MDA polling showed Lula ahead in a potential head-to-head matchup.
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SAO PAULO, Sept 14 - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva regained a slim lead over right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in a simulated runoff for next month's election, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed on Monday, though the race remained statistically tied.
SAO PAULO, Sept 15 - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would beat right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro if they were in a second-round runoff in next month's election, according to a CNT/MDA poll released on Tuesday.